| Years after years the picture unfortunately is the same...
Even though the industry the industry is obviously becoming safer, the number of accident is relatively stable.
It seems a paradox, but we must consider the constant increase in traffic -about 5% every year in average-).
If the world accident rate is rather stable (see the table below), there are a lot of differences according to the respective part of the world.
The following table shows the western built accidents (per million of departures) according to the part of the world.
| Part of the world |
1994-2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
United States
or Canada |
0.4 |
|
0.49 |
0.09 |
0.58 |
0.41 |
Latin America
and Caribbean |
2.4 |
|
1.81 |
1.61 |
2.55 |
0 |
| Europe |
0.7 |
|
0.32 |
.029 |
0.42 |
0.45 |
| Africa |
12.3 |
|
4.31 |
4.09 |
2.12 |
9.94 |
| Middle East |
2.7 |
|
0.0 |
1.08 |
1.89 |
3.32 |
Community of
Independent States
(ex Russia) |
(1) |
|
8.6 |
0 |
6.43 |
0 |
| China |
0.5 |
|
0 |
0.88 |
0 |
0 |
| Asia (except China) |
1.7 |
|
0.67 |
2.76 |
0.58 |
0.86 |
| Oceania |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
| World |
0.74 |
0.77 |
0.65 |
0.75 |
0.81 |
0.71 |
(1) insufficient fleet experience to generate reliable rate
A
last but positive comment!
For every event accident or serious incident we
forget the very large number of normal operations which
succeed to transport the passengers or cargo to their intended
destination.
In commercial aviation, the nowadays accident rate is one fatal
accident for every 2 millions of departures (between 1970
and 2003, fatal accident number was divided by 6, from
3 accidents to 0,5 for every millions of departures).
Nevertheless, the negative impact on public and the injured
or dead passengers, deserve we work more hard to cut this
statistic.
Frank Caron, August 2010. |